This is a must-win game for both of these teams. I know it’s early but neither team can afford to drop to 2-3 to start the season.
The Jets would like to be more balanced on offense, but it’s hard to do when you’re only averaging 3.0 yards per carry rushing the ball. The Jags defense is tough against the run only allowing 82.3 yards rushing per game and 3.4 yards per carry. The Jets bread and butter on offense is their passing game that is averaging 239.0 yards per game thru the air. Chad Pennington is looking great so far this season (1,015 yards passing, 102.3 QB rating) and his receivers will test the Jaguars physical secondary. WR Laveranues Coles (30 rec, 412 yards) and Jerricho Cotchery (18 rec, 284 yards) have had fine seasons so far, but Pennington will have to be aware where CB Rashean Mathis (4 INT) is at all times.
The Jets defense has been very bad this season (140.5 yards rushing, 237.8 passing) and the Jags should be effective doing whatever they want. I have a feeling the Jags will lean more towards the run with Fred Taylor (256 yards rushing) and Maurice Drew (118 yards rushing). WR Matt Jones will probably not play, so Ernest Wilford (13 rec, 147 yards) will need to step up so the Jets don’t double cover emerging WR Reggie Williams (21 rec, 243 yards).
My gut feeling tells me to take the Jags at home, but this team is pretty gritty so I’m not so sure.